Austin FC and Houston Dynamo Battle for MLS Playoff Spots

Austin is hanging by a thread, while Houston looks to solidify its playoff berth

Sep 18, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Austin FC forward Jader Obrian (11) celebrates with defender Jon Gallagher (17) after scoring a goal against LAFC in the first half at BMO Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
Sep 18, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Austin FC forward Jader Obrian (11) celebrates with defender Jon Gallagher (17) after scoring a goal against LAFC in the first half at BMO Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images | Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

When the ball starts rolling this Saturday at 8:30 PM ET between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, it won’t just be another soccer match. It’s a battlefield, a real survival test in the wild west of Major League Soccer. The season’s at its peak, and every shot, every pass, every decision carries the weight of what’s coming next: playoffs or a long, bitter offseason.

For Houston Dynamo, things might seem a bit comfortable, but that's just surface-level. They’re sitting seventh in the Western Conference, fighting tooth and nail for one of those coveted playoff spots. Just two points shy of a top-4 spot, where the Colorado Rapids are waiting, Dynamo’s close enough to smell it, but still far enough to know they’ve got to fight with everything they've got.

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Now, think about Austin FC. If Dynamo’s feeling tense, Austin’s on the verge of a full-blown meltdown. Four points behind Minnesota United, this Texas team needs a miracle—or at least a streak of solid performances to climb out of the hole they’ve dug themselves into. Austin's season started with a bit of hope, but now, when they need it most, they’ve got to reinvent themselves. And time is ticking faster than a defense trying to catch up to Lionel Messi. There’s no room for mistakes.

Speaking of survival, the big question for Houston Dynamo isn’t just about holding their position but climbing higher. That seventh spot might give them a playoff ticket, but can you really trust a team that’s been inconsistent all year? Dynamo fans know the answer is no. But they’ve got something extra: Ezequiel Ponce. The Argentine striker has been the spark Dynamo needed, scoring crucial goals in recent games.

But there’s a dark cloud over the team: the absence of Héctor Herrera. He’s the true maestro in the midfield, but he’s out, recovering from a hamstring injury. Without him, Dynamo loses a lot of its playmaking creativity. Sure, Ponce might be the guy to put the ball in the net, but who’s gonna feed the attack?

While Dynamo’s cautious, Austin FC is in an all-out race against time. This is that part of the season where it’s do or die, and Austin knows it.

The signing of Osman Bukari was a big gamble. He came in with star power and, honestly, he’s got what it takes to change the storyline. But he’s not gonna do it alone. If Austin wants that miracle, Owen Wolff’s got to step up, too. Wolff’s promising, but the pressure of carrying an entire team to a playoff spot at such a young age? That’s a lot. He’ll either become a hometown hero or another story of talent that couldn’t deliver when it mattered.

The interesting thing is, despite being four points behind Minnesota, there are still opportunities left on the schedule. The problem? Every game from here on out is a final. There’s no more room to slip up. They need wins, and at this point, talking about “tough games” is pointless. If you’re losing, every game is tough.

For both Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, the Western Conference of MLS is unforgiving. There’s no room for errors or slip-ups. Anyone who gets distracted is gonna be watching the playoffs from the couch. Whoever keeps their composure might just have a shot at making some noise later. The truth is, the fate of both teams is hanging by a thread.

And, of course, you can’t ignore the psychological weight of a game like this. These are the moments that define not just the future of the season, but also the futures of players, coaches, and even club management. A win on Saturday could be just what Houston Dynamo needs to head into the playoffs with confidence. As for Austin, a loss might mean the end of any realistic hope.

What’s got me curious is seeing how both teams will handle the pressure. On paper, Houston Dynamo’s got the advantage. They’ve got the spot, the hot striker, and they’re only a few points away from securing a comfortable playoff position. But it’s never that simple, is it?

This game isn’t just about who’s got the best players or who’s got more points on the table. It’s about who wants it more. And, of course, who can handle the pressure. Austin FC’s standing on the edge of a cliff, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see desperation push them to play harder than they ever have. On the other hand, Houston Dynamo’s got the chance to lock in their playoff spot, but they’ve got to prove they can stay calm, even without their midfield maestro.